Back to top

Modelling Tsunami Evacuation Behaviour

Project Period: 2022 - 2024

Organisations: GNS Science, Massey University, The University of Canterbury, East Coast LAB

Project funding: Smart Ideas Fund, Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment (New Zealand)

Project Location: Gisborne, Napier, and Christchurch, New Zealand


 The project seeks to understand tsunami evacuation behaviour in Aotearoa New Zealand by combining computational modelling techniques and understanding local contexts and knowledge. We will develop tools to model large-scale tsunami evacuation behaviour, and subsequently provide information that will be helpful for mass evacuation planning.

The team will use agent-based modelling to simulate movements of individuals and use statistical methods to model people’s decision-making processes. With these tools, the team will be able to simulate evacuation scenarios at large scales. To ensure that the modelling represents the actual environment and people as realistically as possible, they will improve the model by incorporating data informed by citizens. Citizen-contributed data gathering will include questionnaires on behaviour from past events, and tracking participants performing evacuation drills using GPS-enabled devices. 

The team will work together alongside Māori partners, the local community, scientists and CDEM. They see opportunities for the research to build relationships that foster increased collaboration to design realistic evacuation models together and identify safe and optimal evacuation routes for communities. They aspire to validate and calibrate the evacuation model using established participatory methods such as focus group discussions and workshops, and also with innovative methods such as virtual reality.

What will be the outcomes of the project?

The new knowledge gained in the project will provide a deeper understanding of the dynamics of large-scale evacuations of urban areas, which cannot be achieved by drills alone. It will also provide insights into people's likely behaviour during evacuations. The new knowledge will help with tsunami evacuation planning and influence public education to make evacuations quicker and safer.

 

Getting in touch

East Coast Lab
159 Dalton Street, Private Bag 6006 Napier, 4142
P: 06 835 9200
E:info@eastcoastlab.org.nz

Site Map

Disclaimers and Copyright
While every endeavour has been taken by the East Coast Life at the Boundary to ensure that the information on this website is accurate and up to date, East Coast Life at the Boundary shall not be liable for any loss suffered through the use, directly or indirectly, of information on this website. Information contained has been assembled in good faith. Some of the information available in this site is from the New Zealand Public domain and supplied by relevant government agencies. East Coast Life at the Boundary cannot accept any liability for its accuracy or content. Portions of the information and material on this site, including data, pages, documents, online graphics and images are protected by copyright, unless specifically notified to the contrary. Externally sourced information or material is copyright to the respective provider.

© East Coast Life at the Boundary - www.eastcoastlab.org.nz / 06 835 9200 / info@eastcoastlab.org.nz